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The wheel on Ford: why cheap stocks attract wheelers, and what can go wrong
Ford is a common first wheel stock because 100 shares cost far less than most big names. That makes the math fit small accounts. But a cheap share price isn't a cheap risk, and a cyclical carmaker can keep falling. Here's a made-up cycle where it does, worked out to the dollar.
What Ford is like for a wheel seller
Ford (F) is a large US carmaker. For the wheel strategy, here's what stands out.
- A low share price. Ford has traded in the teens or lower for much of recent years, so 100 shares have cost roughly one to two thousand dollars. Check today's price.
- A cyclical business. Car sales rise and fall with the economy, interest rates and fuel prices. Recalls, labour talks and trade rules can all move the stock.
- A dividend, with a history. Ford pays a quarterly dividend and has at times added one-off extra payments. It also suspended its dividend in 2020 and brought it back in 2021. Dividends can be cut.
- Quarterly earnings, with the usual gap risk around each report.
- Busy options with strikes close together near the price. Check the spread on the strike you want.
Nothing on this page is a recommendation. Ford is here because people search for it, and because it's the classic example of a cheap stock that wheelers reach for first.
Why cheap stocks attract wheelers
The appeal is simple: the obligation is small. A $11 put ties up $1,100. A $45 put ties up $4,500. On a small account, only the cheaper one fits your cap.
But a stock's price says nothing about its risk. A $12 stock can fall 30% as easily as a $120 one, and the percent is what hurts your account. Before cheapness, ask the quality question: is this a business you'd hold for a year if the price fell and stayed down? Quality checks before wheeling a stock gives a list.
Account note: in Canada, covered calls are widely allowed in a TFSA or RRSP, while cash-secured puts depend on the broker. Options permissions differ by broker, so check yours.
A cycle that goes wrong (an illustration, not a trade idea)
These numbers belong to a made-up cheap carmaker, XYZ. They are not Ford's prices or premiums. XYZ trades at $12.
Step 1: the put. You sell a 30-day $11 put for $0.30 and collect $30. Your broker sets aside $1,100.
Step 2: assignment. XYZ reports weak sales and closes expiry day at $10. You buy 100 shares at $11. Your running cost is $11 − $0.30 = $10.70. You're already $70 behind.
Step 3: the first call. You sell a 30-day $11 call for $0.15 ($15). XYZ drifts to $9.50. The call expires. A quarterly dividend of a made-up $0.15 ($15) arrives. Running cost: $10.40.
Step 4: the second call. Calls at $11 now pay almost nothing. You sell a $10 call for $0.20 ($20). That's below your $11 purchase price. XYZ slides to $8.50. The call expires. Running cost: $10.20.
Step 5: where you stand. XYZ is at $8.50. Your 100 shares are worth $850.
| Item | Amount |
|---|---|
| Put premium | +$30 |
| Two call premiums | +$35 |
| One dividend | +$15 |
| Shares: bought at $11, now $8.50 | −$250 |
| Where you stand | −$170 |
Three months of premiums and a dividend added $80. The stock took $250. That's a math example, not a promise.
And step 4 set a trap. If XYZ had bounced to $10.50 that month, your shares would have been called away at $10, a dollar below what you paid. You'd have locked in a loss right as the stock recovered. The strike-below-cost trap explains that choice.
The cheap-stock trap: selling more because it's cheap
The bigger danger with a low share price is selling several contracts "because it's only a thousand dollars each." Here's the same cycle at different sizes, at the step-5 price of $8.50.
| Contracts | Cash promised | Premiums + dividend | Share loss at $8.50 | Where you stand |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1,100 | +$80 | −$250 | −$170 |
| 3 | $3,300 | +$240 | −$750 | −$510 |
| 5 | $5,500 | +$400 | −$1,250 | −$850 |
| 5, and XYZ falls to $6 | $5,500 | +$400 | −$2,500 | −$2,100 |
Five contracts of a cheap stock is the same money at risk as one contract of a $55 stock. The low price just hides it. Size by the cash promised, as in sizing math, the full obligation rule.
The rule for next time
- Start with the business, not the price. Would you hold it through a 30% drop for a year? If not, skip it.
- Size by cash promised. Count every contract's strike × 100 against your cap.
- Check the earnings date before every put. A cyclical company can gap on one report.
- Don't count on the dividend. It can be cut, and Ford's was in 2020.
- Decide your call rule in advance. Will you sell calls below your cost or not? Write it down before you're assigned, not after.
In plain words: a cheap stock makes the wheel affordable. It doesn't make it gentle. The percent drop is what hits your account, and cheap stocks drop too.
Questions
Is Ford a good stock for the wheel strategy?
It fits small accounts on price, has busy options and pays a dividend. It's also a cyclical company that can fall for long stretches. Whether it suits you depends on whether you'd own it through that. Nothing here is a recommendation.
How much money do I need to wheel Ford?
The put strike × 100. At Ford's recent prices, that's been roughly one to two thousand dollars per contract. Check today's price.
Do I get Ford's dividend while running the wheel?
Only while you own the shares on the ex-dividend date. While you're only selling puts, you don't. If you hold shares with an in-the-money call near the ex-date, early assignment can take the dividend away.
Why are Ford's option premiums so small?
Because the share price is low and the stock usually moves a moderate amount. A small premium on a cheap stock can still be a fair share of the cash set aside. Compare it as premium ÷ cash, not in dollars.
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