Home › Stories › Market history
Black Wednesday 1992: the day the pound broke free
On 16 September 1992, Britain's central bank raised interest rates twice in a single day to save the pound. By evening, the government gave up. The pound left Europe's currency system, and one fund became famous for betting it would.
The world before the crisis
In 1990, the UK joined Europe's Exchange Rate Mechanism, or ERM. The idea was to keep European currencies moving within set bands against each other, as a step towards a single currency.
The pound joined at a central rate of about 2.95 German marks. It was allowed to move only about 6% either side of that.
Here's the catch. To keep the pound inside its band, the UK had to keep its interest rates in step with Germany's.
After reunification in 1990, Germany was spending heavily to rebuild the East. To fight inflation, Germany's central bank, the Bundesbank, kept rates high.
The UK, by contrast, was in a recession. It needed lower rates. High rates made home loans more painful and slowed the economy further.
Traders began to ask a simple question: how long can Britain keep this up?
What happened
Through the summer of 1992, pressure built. The pound sat near the bottom of its band. The Bank of England bought pounds again and again to support it.
Big funds and banks started to bet the pound would fall. If it was forced out of the ERM, they would profit. If it stayed in, they'd lose relatively little, because the pound couldn't easily rise much. That's a lopsided bet, and traders love lopsided bets.
One fund, George Soros's Quantum Fund, built a very large position against the pound, by most accounts worth around $10 billion. More on him in our George Soros story.
The moment everyone remembers
Wednesday 16 September 1992 was the showdown.
- In the morning, the Bank of England bought pounds in huge amounts. The selling didn't stop.
- At about 11 am, it raised its key interest rate from 10% to 12%.
- The pound barely moved.
- In the early afternoon, it announced another rise, to 15%.
- Still the selling continued.
That evening, Chancellor Norman Lamont stepped out in front of the cameras. He said the UK was suspending its membership of the ERM. The second rate rise was cancelled. Within days, rates were back to 10%.
The pound fell sharply against the mark in the weeks that followed. Italy was forced out of the ERM at almost the same time.
Treasury papers released in 2005 estimated the cost of defending the pound at about £3.3 billion. Soros's fund is widely reported to have made more than $1 billion on the trade.
What changed afterwards
Many economists now see Black Wednesday as a turning point that helped, not hurt, the UK in the long run.
- Freed from the ERM, the UK could cut rates. The economy recovered over the following years.
- In October 1992, the UK adopted an inflation target to guide policy.
- In 1997, the Bank of England was given the power to set interest rates on its own.
Some people even started calling it "White Wednesday".
What it teaches
1. A price held up by force can fall fast
The pound's band wasn't set by buyers and sellers. It was held by a central bank spending money. When the money and the will ran out, the price moved all at once. The same thing happened to the Swiss franc in 2015: see the Swiss franc shock.
2. Interest rates move currencies
Higher rates usually make a currency more attractive. On Black Wednesday, even a jump to 15% didn't work, because traders believed it couldn't last. Read how interest rates affect stocks and our GBP/USD guide for how rates feed into prices today.
Big central bank news can move a pair more in a minute than in a normal day. Check the economic calendar before you trade, and be flat or small around big decisions.
3. Lopsided risk is worth thinking about
Traders saw a trade where the downside was small and the upside large. For a beginner, the useful version is simpler: before every trade, compare how far it could go against you with how far it could go for you. That's risk-reward ratio. Try the risk-reward calculator.
What it doesn't mean
- It doesn't mean one trader "broke" the Bank of England alone. Many banks and funds were selling. Soros was the biggest and most famous, not the only one.
- It doesn't mean betting against central banks is easy money. Plenty of traders have lost doing exactly that, when the central bank won.
- It doesn't mean the outcome was bad for Britain. Many economists argue the exit allowed a healthier recovery.
- The profit and cost figures are estimates. They come from Treasury papers and press reports, not audited accounts.
Timeline
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| 1990 | Germany reunifies; the Bundesbank keeps rates high |
| 8 Oct 1990 | The UK joins the ERM at about 2.95 marks |
| Summer 1992 | The pound sits near the bottom of its band |
| 16 Sep 1992, morning | Bank of England buys pounds heavily |
| About 11 am | Rates raised from 10% to 12% |
| Early afternoon | A rise to 15% announced |
| Evening | The UK suspends ERM membership |
| Days after | Rates back to 10%; the pound falls further |
| Oct 1992 | UK adopts an inflation target |
| 1997 | Bank of England gets power to set rates |
| 2005 | Treasury papers estimate the cost at about £3.3 billion |
Questions
What happened on Black Wednesday?
On 16 September 1992, the UK tried to keep the pound inside Europe's Exchange Rate Mechanism by buying pounds and raising interest rates twice in one day. It failed, and that evening the UK left the ERM.
How much did Black Wednesday cost the UK?
Treasury papers released in 2005 estimated the cost at about £3.3 billion.
How much did George Soros make on Black Wednesday?
His fund is widely reported to have made more than $1 billion by betting the pound would fall. The exact figure isn't public.
Why was it called Black Wednesday?
Because of the day's dramatic failure to defend the pound. Some later called it "White Wednesday", arguing that leaving the ERM helped the UK recover.
Want the next step? We'll walk you through it.
Four free lessons by email, one every few days — each with a 10-minute exercise on a real chart.
Send Me the Free Lessons 4 short emails · No spam · Unsubscribe anytimeOr see the whole method, step by step:
See What’s Inside the Course Try everything free first. Decide when you're ready. · Open the free chart tool (works in the TradingView phone app)One chart idea a day, in plain English. Follow along: